El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Medan

El Niño in MedanNorth Sumatra · Indonesia

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Drought / heat / fire risk2 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Medan is inside the projected impact zone Indonesia & Malaysia.

Severe drought dries peatlands, fuelling large-scale forest fires and transboundary haze; rice and palm yields fall.

Next 14 days in Medan

12 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

Thu
11
59%
·
Fri
12
57%
8mm
Sat
13
76%
4mm
Sun
14
78%
13mm
Mon
15
83%
15mm
Tue
16
75%
4mm
Wed
17
82%
8mm
Thu
18
92%
12mm
Fri
19
73%
5mm
Sat
20
65%
2mm
Sun
21
63%
1mm
Mon
22
67%
5mm
Tue
23
75%
10mm
Wed
24
67%
4mm

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Medan

  • Sei Mati, Medan Maimun: Recurring flooding from heavy rain and overflow of the Deli River
  • Aur, Medan Maimun: Recurring flooding from heavy rain and overflow of the Deli River
  • Kampung Baru, Medan Maimun: Flooded by heavy rain in 2026, indicating repeated waterlogging
  • Tanjung Rejo, Medan Sunggal: Flooding after intense rain, with repeated urban inundation
  • Petisah Hulu, Medan Baru: Flooding after intense rain, affecting many homes in 2024
  • Sunggal, Medan Sunggal: Flooding linked to heavy rain and overflow of the Belawan River

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Medan affected by El Niño?

Yes. Medan sits in the documented impact zone Indonesia & Malaysia: Severe drought dries peatlands, fuelling large-scale forest fires and transboundary haze; rice and palm yields fall.

Will it rain in Medan in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 12 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Medan do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Indonesia

BandungJakartaPalembangPontianakSurabaya

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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