El Niño Observatory › Monitored cities › Nairobi
El Niño in NairobiNairobi · Kenya
Current El Niño risk
Attention level: HighWarning · Flooding / extreme rain1 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zoneNairobi is inside the projected impact zone Horn of Africa.
Enhanced short rains bring flooding to Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia's lowlands, often after preceding drought, compounding displacement.
Next 14 days in Nairobi
5 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 1 with heavy rain.
% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.
Areas with flood history in Nairobi
- Kibera: River overflow and poor drainage in a dense floodplain settlement
- Mathare: Settlement along Mathare River with frequent overflow and runoff flooding
- Mukuru Kwa Reuben: Ngong River corridor and blocked drainage cause recurrent flooding
- Kariobangi: Low-lying river-corridor settlement exposed to repeated flood impacts
- Nairobi West: Poor drainage and runoff pooling during heavy rains
- Kenyatta Avenue: CBD runoff and overloaded drainage turn the road into a flood channel
AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.
What you should do
- Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
- Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
- Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
- Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
- Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.
Emergency numbers
Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.
Get alerts for your city
We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.
Frequently asked questions
Is Nairobi affected by El Niño?
Yes. Nairobi sits in the documented impact zone Horn of Africa: Enhanced short rains bring flooding to Kenya, Somalia and Ethiopia's lowlands, often after preceding drought, compounding displacement.
Will it rain in Nairobi in the coming days?
The current 14-day forecast shows 5 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 1 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.
What should residents of Nairobi do?
Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.
Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.