El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Tumbes

El Niño in TumbesTumbes · Peru

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: ModerateCritical · Flooding / extreme rainRisk zone, but no flood signal in the next 14 days

Tumbes is inside the projected impact zone Peru & Ecuador coast.

Warm coastal waters drive torrential rain, flash floods and landslides. Historically the hardest-hit zone of any El Niño.

Next 14 days in Tumbes

1 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 0 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
0%
·
Thu
11
8%
·
Fri
12
35%
·
Sat
13
67%
7mm
Sun
14
57%
5mm
Mon
15
33%
2mm
Tue
16
16%
1mm
Wed
17
26%
2mm
Thu
18
34%
2mm
Fri
19
33%
1mm
Sat
20
27%
2mm
Sun
21
28%
1mm
Mon
22
33%
·
Tue
23
45%
·

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Tumbes

  • Bellavista neighborhood: Routinely flooded by river overflow and heavy rain; reported repeatedly in 2023 and 2025
  • San José neighborhood: Peri-urban flooding risk documented in public risk studies and local reports
  • El Tablazo, El Ejército Avenue: Street section reported as completely waterlogged during intense rainfall
  • Villa Puerto Pizarro sector: Homes affected by intense rains and local flooding in 2023
  • Miraflores sector: Listed in civil-defense records as damaged by intense rains and flooding
  • Tacorita neighborhood: Civil-defense report records rain damage to homes during February 2023 storms

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Tumbes affected by El Niño?

Yes. Tumbes sits in the documented impact zone Peru & Ecuador coast: Warm coastal waters drive torrential rain, flash floods and landslides. Historically the hardest-hit zone of any El Niño.

Will it rain in Tumbes in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 1 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 0 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Tumbes do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Peru

ArequipaChiclayoChimboteCuscoIquitosLimaPiuraSullanaTrujillo

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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