El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Belém

El Niño in BelémPA · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Drought / heat / fire risk2 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Belém is inside the projected impact zone Amazon & Northeast Brazil.

Suppressed convection brings severe drought, record-low rivers, fires and crop failure across the Amazon basin and the semi-arid Northeast.

Next 14 days in Belém

14 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
100%
6mm
Thu
11
96%
17mm
Fri
12
76%
2mm
Sat
13
100%
4mm
Sun
14
95%
3mm
Mon
15
93%
1mm
Tue
16
91%
2mm
Wed
17
89%
2mm
Thu
18
94%
12mm
Fri
19
82%
2mm
Sat
20
80%
·
Sun
21
77%
3mm
Mon
22
77%
·
Tue
23
63%
·

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Belém

  • Cremação: Recurring heavy-rain flooding; among Belém's most affected neighborhoods
  • Jurunas: Repeated street flooding during extreme rain and river-tide periods
  • Batista Campos: Frequent rain-driven street flooding, often cited in local reports
  • Pedreira: Common flood complaints; low-lying streets and poor drainage
  • Reduto: Repeated flooding with homes invaded by water during intense rain
  • Cidade Velha: Flooding on low streets near canals and tide-influenced drainage

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive.
  • Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells.
  • If you depend on agriculture, plan for reduced rainfall this season.
  • Watch for water-rationing announcements from your utility.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Belém affected by El Niño?

Yes. Belém sits in the documented impact zone Amazon & Northeast Brazil: Suppressed convection brings severe drought, record-low rivers, fires and crop failure across the Amazon basin and the semi-arid Northeast.

Will it rain in Belém in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 14 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Belém do?

Store drinking water and cut non-essential use now, before restrictions arrive. Never burn waste or vegetation: fire risk is sharply elevated in dry spells. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

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Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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