El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Blumenau

El Niño in BlumenauSC · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Flooding / extreme rain2 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Blumenau is inside the projected impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina.

A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Next 14 days in Blumenau

3 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 2 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
100%
11mm
Thu
11
94%
5mm
Fri
12
99%
25mm
Sat
13
8%
·
Sun
14
8%
·
Mon
15
12%
·
Tue
16
10%
·
Wed
17
3%
·
Thu
18
18%
1mm
Fri
19
47%
7mm
Sat
20
44%
·
Sun
21
33%
·
Mon
22
25%
·
Tue
23
18%
1mm

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Blumenau

  • Itoupava Central: A low-lying part of the neighborhood is flood-prone, especially near the river plain
  • Itoupava Seca: Repeated runoff and drainage problems cause recurring flooding near Machado de Assis School
  • Rua Rio de Janeiro: Low drainage capacity causes ponding after rain, blocking traffic
  • Rua Nereu Ramos: Street runoff accumulates in heavy rain, causing waterlogged sections
  • Rua Erich Belz: Water backs up at the bridge, creating localized flooding
  • Rua 1º de Janeiro: A low section of the street is repeatedly affected by rainwater buildup

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Blumenau affected by El Niño?

Yes. Blumenau sits in the documented impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina: A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Will it rain in Blumenau in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 3 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 2 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Blumenau do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Other cities in Brazil

AracajuBalneário CamboriúBelémBelo HorizonteBoa VistaBrasíliaCampo GrandeCascavelCaxias do SulChapecó

Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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