El Niño Observatory
El Niño conditions are present and being monitored · Niño 3.4 +1.3 °C

El Niño Observatory Monitored cities Caxias do Sul

El Niño in Caxias do SulRS · Brazil

Current El Niño risk

Attention level: HighCritical · Flooding / extreme rain1 day(s) with heavy rain in a flood-prone zone

Caxias do Sul is inside the projected impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina.

A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Next 14 days in Caxias do Sul

2 of the next 14 days show a 60%+ chance of rain; 1 with heavy rain.

Wed
10
0%
·
Thu
11
95%
8mm
Fri
12
92%
5mm
Sat
13
51%
·
Sun
14
50%
·
Mon
15
12%
·
Tue
16
0%
·
Wed
17
8%
·
Thu
18
37%
31mm
Fri
19
51%
13mm
Sat
20
44%
·
Sun
21
31%
·
Mon
22
33%
·
Tue
23
28%
12mm

% is the chance of rain that day. mm is the expected amount.

Areas with flood history in Caxias do Sul

  • Santa Catarina neighborhood: Repeated flooding from urban runoff and impervious surfaces in low-lying areas
  • Pio X neighborhood: Multiple flood reports linked to intense rain and poor drainage
  • Nossa Senhora de Fátima neighborhood: Frequently affected by flooding during heavy rainfall events
  • São José neighborhood: Recurrent flooding in mapped urban risk areas and stormwater overflow
  • Avenue/road corridor between Rua da Vitória and Rua da Felicidade: Drainage box overflow caused flooding after heavy rain and litter blockage
  • Cânion neighborhood: Recent flood damage from drainage overflow and localized stormwater accumulation

Sources: [1] [2] [3] [4]

AI-generated list using web search (Perplexity Sonar) from news and public sources. Use as a starting reference, not an official risk map.

What you should do

  • Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground.
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down.
  • Keep documents, medication and chargers in a waterproof bag, ready to grab.
  • Sign up for your city's official rain/flood alerts (SMS or app) today.
  • Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

Emergency kit: what to have ready

Emergency numbers

Numbers are national defaults; some regions use local variants. Confirm with local authorities.

Get alerts for your city

We watch the data so you don't have to. Get an email when a flood signal or a major El Niño change affects your area.

Frequently asked questions

Is Caxias do Sul affected by El Niño?

Yes. Caxias do Sul sits in the documented impact zone Southern Brazil, Uruguay & NE Argentina: A strengthened subtropical jet brings persistent extreme rainfall. The 2023-24 Rio Grande do Sul floods are the canonical signature.

Will it rain in Caxias do Sul in the coming days?

The current 14-day forecast shows 2 days with a 60%+ chance of rain and 1 days with heavy rain. Probabilities update every 6 hours.

What should residents of Caxias do Sul do?

Learn your neighborhood's flood-prone streets and the fastest route to higher ground. Never walk or drive through floodwater: 15 cm of moving water can knock you down. Always follow your national meteorological service and local civil defense. Their warnings override anything on this page.

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Data refreshes every 6 hours. Forecast: Open-Meteo. Zone risk: NOAA data and documented El Niño patterns.

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